[SkyPilot]

How accurate was Sabato in 2004?

Read for yourself from his own site:

Kerry Will Beat George Bush (2004)

The Final Predictions
Larry J. Sabato
Director, U.Va. Center for Politics
As we conclude this amazing election campaign, we have just one question for our readers: When has an incumbent candidate ever won when he is tied with his challenger on election eve? The answer is never--at least in the age of polling that began in the 1930s. So George W. Bush needs to beat history, and the polls, to win the election tomorrow. It is possible that the vagaries of the Electoral College will enable Bush to eke out a victory, and it is also possible that the Republican Party's get out the vote effort will equal or exceed the Democrats' GOTV efforts. But if the Democrats are even half-right about the potential of their GOTV in producing additional new voters, then Kerry will win, perhaps more comfortably than anyone now suspects.

[frogjerk]

When has an incumbent candidate ever won when he is tied with his challenger on election eve? The answer is never--at least in the age of polling that began in the 1930s.

W. Misunderestimated again!

[TNCMAXQ]

He asks when is the last time the president's party failed to capture a single seat from the other party? How about 1994?? As I recall not one single GOP Senate or House seat, or governorship, flipped to the Dems in that year.

We can only hope he and most of the other experts are wrong but when even analysts on the right say the GOP will probably lose control of one or both houses, then the outlook is not good. It will take a little miracle to gain a victory.

[Toidylop]

Is this from Larry the one who declared "Bush has no chance" during 2004 election on pMSNBC? How does a DEM hack become a fair political pundit??? Gee... someone pinch me!!!