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I have never thought that the demonrats were as strong in this election cycle as the PWDP has insisted.

This election, like most elections, will be won by voter turnout. Both sides have their base. It all depends how well the parties do getting their base to the polls.

The MSM has had the idea for quite awhile that the GOP is hurting because it's base is not fired up. Well, whether it was ever true or not, it's certainly changed since Kerry 'foo paaad'. What with his idiotic comments, the foregone conclusion that if the Dem's get the house/senate they'll spend 2 years getting 'back' at Bush, etc, any true conservative who still believes it's in his best interests to 'give the GOP a message' is simply a jerk (I'm being kind).

The DIMs are another story. yes, the far left is energized, but can their vote be counted on (physically)? I'm not so sure. Also, the DIMs don't have a message other than hate and 'cut and run'. That's not a real good sales pitch to those still on the fence.

I certainly don't have a crystal ball. Who knows what's going to happen next Tuesday? I sure don't. But I'm beginning to wonder if all these DIM pundits aren't whistling past the graveyard during this last week. This is the first stirring of optimism I've had.

"The DIMs are another story. yes, the far left is energized, but can their vote be counted on (physically)? I'm not so sure." -- bcsco

"If she did the hard work of going after more detailed polls, with a better handle on turnout rather than gross numbers from "adult Americans," she would know what Rove knows." -- Congressman Billybob

I too have doubts about the physical turnout issue. Isn't the presumed voter turnout based on persons polled who CLAIM to be "likely voters"? I don't know how this issue is dealt with statistically but when asked, many people who will say they are going to vote just won't. This is simply a case of human nature. We know that what people say and what they do are often inconsistent. I mean, who is going to be honest enough to admit that they will probably not get off the couch to cast a vote? It's easier to say "yes" rather than acknowledge failure to meet this basic obligation of citizenship.

When you combine a lower than expected physical turnout by Dems with known over sampling of Dems in the polls, there's not really any Rove magic at play. He just undestands reality IMHO.