[LS]

See the post I put up right after yours about the new Zobgy poll on Blackwell/DeWine. If you adjust for turnout, DeWine is now winning, and Blackwell is within 2%.

[gridlock]

I think the conventional models simply don't work in this election. The degree of hatred for the President on the part of the Left completely distorts their perspective. The Bush Haters make a lot of noise, but each of these people only gets to vote once.

So instead of looking at the polls, I look at other indicators of how their brand of Bush Hatred is playing with the people. I look to the failures of the Dixie Chicks, the New York Times and Katie Couric, and I am encouraged. These institutions have all married themselves to the Anti-Bush Zeitgeist, and they have all failed in the marketplace.

IMHO, this philosophy will fail in the ballot box, as well.