[Welike ike]

Riverdawg, the 2004 Presidential Election is cherry picked?? It was the most focal election possibly in World history and Tradesports completely screwed it up. Dawg, that was not an obscure House or Senate race. Tradesports had the winner, Bush, at 48% on Election morning and 20% by 4pm.

Please do your homework Riverdawg

[riverdawg]

"Tradesports had the winner, Bush, at 48% on Election morning and 20% by 4 pm."

The 2004 election-day dynamics of the odds at tradesports have been hashed over ad infinitum on other FR threads and in several academic papers. (Go to nber.com, type in 12083, and look on page 14 for a nice graph of the price of the Bush re-election contract on election day 2004.)

As I recall, tradesports nailed every state-by-state electoral college outcome for Bush v. Kerry.