Did you read Barrones take on all of these polls? He thinks that there is a good chance they are ALL wrong.
This Rove exchange took place yesterday.
Lib reporter: "How can you be so positive Mr. Rove? I read the same polls that you do".
Rove: "No you don't! I read 68 different polls every day... and they do not show what these media driven polls show"!
LLS
There's also the chance that they're all right, too. We don't know. We won't know for sure until next week. I just find it amusing that people can be agreeing with Rush that the polls are moving in our favor one week while dismissing polls by the same company the following week. Any one with any background in statistics will tell you that poll results that fall within the margin of error are a statistical tossup. That covers most of the races out there.
Rove: "No you don't! I read 68 different polls every day... and they do not show what these media driven polls show"!
And if they did, what would you expect Rove to say? "I read 68 polls every day and they show we're toast in Missouri and Ohio and Pennsylvania?" Would Dean get up there and say, "Gee, polls show we're dead meat in Maryland and New Jersey?" Hell no!. You want to know how races are going? Follow the money. The GOP is no longer funding commercials in the Ohio and Pennsylvania senate races. They've written them off. They're pouring money into New Jersey and Maryland. They think those two are winnable. The Dems are dumping cash into Missouri and Tennessee, they think they're in a good position there. They're not spending much in Arizona, so they've written that one off. That says more than any poll data.