I forgot to mention the most important reason why I view this as being better than you are (and the reason why the race has moved up on my list the past couple of weeks).
My contacts in Houston tell me that Lampson has been saturating the airwaves with commercials the past week or two attacking Gibbs personally. I have little to explain why he would be doing this if the race was safe. (though I guess Lugar in Indiana advertising makes no sense either)
It's not really all that unusual for candidates to run a vigorous campaign while obviously thinking the race is tight, and then going on to win by 10% or more on election day. I think TX-22 is one of those races. Could I be wrong? Sure, it's possible. If this were a normal election Lampson would not break 42%. But it's not and my assessment is clear. There's no point in beating the topic into the ground. We'll know soon enough!
"My contacts in Houston tell me that Lampson has been saturating the airwaves with commercials the past week or two attacking Gibbs personally. I have little to explain why he would be doing this if the race was safe. (though I guess Lugar in Indiana advertising makes no sense either)"
ROFLMAO!!!
It's so helpful to have that $1 million in DNC money being used to increase Gibbs' name ID!