[LS]

Not plausible whatsoever. The term "likely" voter in this case consists of merely asking, "Do you plan to vote?" Doesn't work. Most people of course say yes.

For this to be a legit poll, you'd have to ask several follow-up questions: "Did you vote in 2000? For whom? Did you vote in 2002? For whom?" Most pollsters have some method, but at the Ohio Rep. Party, we don't identify a person as a "likely" voter unless he has voted in four consecutive elections. That has worked VERY well for us, as you could see in 2004.

[PJ-Comix]

Not plausible whatsoever. The term "likely" voter in this case consists of merely asking, "Do you plan to vote?" Doesn't work. Most people of course say yes.

If I made a sale to everyone who promised FOR SURE to buy my products, I would be a multi-millionaire. All salesmen know that if you don't CLOSE the deal right there, you probably WON'T make the sale.