Menendez is going down in NJ, a PAC has launched vicious ads against him, in the NYC and Philly markets.
I'm starting to think kean can win NJ. A GOP party insider I know is telling me kean will probably win, because menendez backstabbed a lot of black leaders when he was a party boss, and they've turned on him--they're not going to help turn out voters for him. That factor is not even showing up in the polls yet.
I still think it's close to 50-50. If I see kean go up 8 to 10 points in the polls I'll finally believe it's a win for him. I'm voting for kean no matter what, of course.