Yeah, I'm about to post on that subject.
Time will tell if Chavez can lose despite his 20 point lead:
http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=worldNews&storyid=2006-11-04T221544Z_01_N04460417_RTRUKOC_0_US-VENEZUELA-MARCH.xml&src=rss&rpc=22