Congress CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 14-17, 2004. N=931 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 678 likely voters (MoE ± 4). Per CBS: "Every registered voter is included in the likely voter model, and is assigned a probability of voting, which is used to calculate the likely voter results. The sum of these probabilities is the effective number of likely voters."
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"If the 2004 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" |
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| Republican | Democrat | Depends (vol.) |
Don't Know |
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| % | % | % | % | |||
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Among likely voters: |
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| 10/14-17/04 | 39 | 45 | 7 | 9 | ||
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Trend, among registered voters: |
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| 9/12-16/04 | 39 | 41 | 8 | 12 | ||
| 7/11-15/04 | 37 | 46 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 3/10-14/04 | 38 | 42 | 8 | 12 | ||
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