I am not surprised. They are all Beltway types, with their own culture and circles.
The truth is they have no idea what will happen in this election. You can't trust media-driven polls. This latest batch are heavily skewed to Democrats. They also cannot predict turnout.
Two years ago Kristol predicted a Dem takeover and was so wrong he had to eat crow. In fact, Kristol has been wrong on many things. I can't explain Brit.
Rush and Mark Levin seem to be the only people that have a true perspective of reality on this election.
I've done a little surfing over the last few weeks looking for someplace that has the pre-election predictions from 1994 to 2004. So far nada. I know they screwed up, but I can't find the quotes or stats.