There is only one reason that someone would believe this tripe -- they do not regulary read Strategy Page (http:\\www.strategypage.com).
The most telling line in the article is when it talks about "the Taliban's improved military performance." Bull. The only thing that the Taliban has improved is their ability to get their people killed: 2000+ dead, just this summer.
They did that with a 300 to 1 exchange rate, even if you count Afghan soldiers into the total. They are not even successful at attacking civilians.
The Taliban is done for the year. The campaigning season is just about over and the bad guys are fixing to hunker down until April or May when the snow melts.
Afghan National Army commandos with Coalition Special Operations Forces and lots of JDAMS and Predators might be busy in Waziristan this winter.
Then we will see how froggy the Taliban is come break up.