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Crude Awakening (Axis of Oil)
New Republic ^ | Sep 25, 2006 | Joshua Kurlantzick

Posted on 10/15/2006 4:12:36 PM PDT by Tailgunner Joe

...Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad arrived in China--and quickly made himself at home. The occasion was a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), a regional group linking China, Russia, and Central Asia... He posed, arms linked, with Russian and Chinese officials, who said nothing as he called for "impartial and independent experts" to investigate whether the Holocaust happened. He delivered a major address broadcast on Chinese state television. He touted Moscow, Tehran, and Beijing's "identical" views on world issues. And he proposed making "the SCO into a strong and influential economic, political, and trade institution [to] thwart the threat of domineering powers." One can guess which domineering power he had in mind. ...

Putin's plans to develop oil as a state weapon have long been clear. As director of the Federal Security Service (successor to the KGB) in St. Petersburg in the '90s, he authored an article arguing that the state should use natural resources to wield power. Since then, Putin has surrounded himself with former colleagues from St. Petersburg who share his views. In 2004, Putin and friends dismantled oil giant Yukos, a private company, and sold many of its assets to Rosneft, a state company. They boosted the power of state gas firm Gazprom; as Putin bluntly announced, "Gazprom is a powerful political and economic lever of influence over the rest of the world." ...

Other autocrats have followed a similar path. In Venezuela, Hugo Chávez took over the formerly independent Petróleos de Venezuela. Chávez ally Evo Morales has sent the army into Bolivian gas fields and nationalized Bolivia's industry. Ecuador's government has assumed control of U.S. oil company Occidental's holdings. And, in Iran, Ahmadinejad has tightened state control over the oil industry, promising to favor domestic investors and placing close allies--and former Revolutionary Guards--in key positions. ...

(Excerpt) Read more at tnr.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Russia
KEYWORDS: antiamericanaxis; china; coldwar2; energy; gasputin; iran; russia; sovietunion; venezuela
"The autocrats have built military relationships, too. Russia and China held their largest joint military exercises last year. Russia has become China's biggest arms supplier, and Moscow also has made winning back its military influence in Central Asia a priority. For his part, Mr. Chávez has reportedly offered to sell Tehran F-16 fighters, while Russia has provided the mullahs with civilian nuclear technology. In addition, China, Russia and other Central Asian nations are considering turning the SCO into a full-fledged alliance. SCO is the "most dangerous organization that Americans have never heard of," argues Christopher Brown, a Central Asia expert. Or, as David Wall of Cambridge's East Asia Institute told The Washington Times, if the Shanghai group added Iran, "it would essentially be an OPEC with bombs." - LINK
1 posted on 10/15/2006 4:12:37 PM PDT by Tailgunner Joe
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To: Tailgunner Joe
I recommend wielding the transportation industry for influence in response. We can start by charging all ships tariffs to take anything anywhere. 1 cent per vessel for our allies, $1 million for opec types jacking prices, not for love or money for this goon brigade.
2 posted on 10/15/2006 4:17:23 PM PDT by JasonC
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To: indcons; Thunder90; Paul Ross

Bttt! Comments?


3 posted on 10/15/2006 4:18:24 PM PDT by monkeywrench (Deut. 27:17 Cursed be he that removeth his neighbor's landmark)
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To: Tailgunner Joe
time for me to link to this again, Joe... Crude Imperialism.
4 posted on 10/15/2006 4:18:50 PM PDT by the invisib1e hand (* nuke * the * jihad *)
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To: Tailgunner Joe
From the Komersant (Russian publication) piece (Mikhail Zygar) as presented by DoctorZIn:

As Iranian Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani told his Russian counterpart, Teheran is prepared to offer Moscow a new form of partnership that will turn Russia into a key player in the Near East. Specifically, using its ties in the Muslim world, Teheran has promised to install Moscow in the role of intermediary in all important negotiations in the region, such as those in Lebanon and Palestine. What is more, Mr. Larijani promised Mr. Ivanov economic benefits as well. For example, according to Teheran's plans, Russian and Iranian companies could start actively establishing themselves in Iraq's oil fields, thanks to the fact that America's control in the country is weakening as Iran's influence increases. Russian firms could also begin to revitalize oil terminals in southern Iraq, while Iran, through its contacts with local Shiite groups, would guarantee the safety of the Russian specialists working at these installations.

5 posted on 10/15/2006 4:19:37 PM PDT by familyop ("he died for rodeo horse on Jul 25, 1987." - - skanamaru)
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To: Tailgunner Joe

Here's the whole article.


6 posted on 10/15/2006 4:26:26 PM PDT by familyop ("he died for rodeo horse on Jul 25, 1987." - - skanamaru)
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To: Tailgunner Joe

Iran Offers Russia and America a Package Deal



October 12, 2006
Komersant (Moscow)
by way of GlobalResearch.ca

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is suggesting that the countries of the West take a wholly new look at their relations with Teheran. In his opinion, the West should not impose sanctions against Teheran but should rather seek to befriend Iran. According to information obtained by Kommersant, the Iranian leadership has worked out its own plan to come to a peaceful accord with the West. Teheran has made offers to Russia and the United States that would not only allow the Islamic Republic to keep its nuclear program but also to take control of the entire Near East.

Yesterday Mr. Ahmadinejad gave a strange speech at a rally in the city of Shakhriyare. The Iranian president, who is well known for his threatening stance towards the West, unexpectedly changed his tone and called on the United States and Europe to embrace friendly relations with Iran. "Is it really possible that your frowning and anger towards us over the course of the last 27 years has been of any use to you?" asked President Ahmadinejad. "Doesn't it seem to you that it is time to change your relations with us and to become friendly towards the Iranian nation?"

In making his argument for why Iran and the West would do better not to quarrel, Mr. Ahmadinejad said, "the Iranian nation is becoming more powerful, stronger, and more steadfast by the day, while you are becoming ever weaker and more isolated."

Fairly conciliatory statements have been issuing more and more often recently from the mouths of the Iranian leadership. Mr. Ahmadinejad celebrated the first anniversary of his election as president not long ago, and during that first year he built a reputation as a hardheaded radical with whom it was almost impossible to negotiate and who was incapable of making any kind of concession. However, as the first year of his presidency drew to a close, the Iranian leader suddenly began to attempt to burnish his image. For starters, Mr. Ahmadinejad stepped forward like some kind of dove of peace in response to the scandal that flared up around the contradictory statements made by Pope Benedict XVI concerning the Prophet Muhammad. In that moment, when the majority of the leaders of the Muslim world was demanding immediate apologies from the pontiff, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced that he considered the conflict settled: he was satisfied with the Pope's statement that he "regrets his words."

Then Iran reacted in a carefully thought-out manner to North Korea's nuclear test. Teheran stated that it does not consider nuclear weapons acceptable, that it is not seeking to develop them, and that Iran dreams of a world free of nuclear weapons.

Such behavior appears to be the new distinguishing feature of Iranian politics. After carrying out a year of "shock therapy," Mr. Ahmadinejad has decided to alter his means of engagement with the West by offering Iran's cooperation in exchange for concessions. Judging by recent comments from Iranian politicians, Teheran intends to concentrate its energies on normalizing relations with both its most consistent defenders and its most sworn enemies. Since all of its possible talks with the EU, in the person of senior foreign affairs representative Javier Solana, have failed, and given that China has recently shown little interest in the Iranian question, preferring instead to bide its time, Teheran is planning to focus its attention on working with Russia and the United States. According to information obtained by Kommersant, this was the topic being discussed during recent talks between Russia and Iran during Russian Security Council Secretary Igor Ivanov's visit to Iran.

As Iranian Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani told his Russian counterpart, Teheran is prepared to offer Moscow a new form of partnership that will turn Russia into a key player in the Near East. Specifically, using its ties in the Muslim world, Teheran has promised to install Moscow in the role of intermediary in all important negotiations in the region, such as those in Lebanon and Palestine. What is more, Mr. Larijani promised Mr. Ivanov economic benefits as well. For example, according to Teheran's plans, Russian and Iranian companies could start actively establishing themselves in Iraq's oil fields, thanks to the fact that America's control in the country is weakening as Iran's influence increases. Russian firms could also begin to revitalize oil terminals in southern Iraq, while Iran, through its contacts with local Shiite groups, would guarantee the safety of the Russian specialists working at these installations.

Finally, according to Mr. Larijani, Teheran is prepared to facilitate the resolution of less ambitious but more vital problems for Russia. First, using its own channels, the Iranian authorities could help Russian special forces track down the killers of several Russian diplomats in Iraq. Secondly, Teheran is offering to negotiate with Hezbollah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah for a guarantee of the safety of a Russian engineering battalion that was recently deployed to Lebanon.

Understanding that the question does not lie only in Moscow's hands, Iran is also beginning to take tentative steps in its relations with the United States. According to information from Kommersant's sources, Ali Larijani informed Igor Ivanov of a package deal that Teheran intends to offer to Washington. The key issue in the scheme thought up by Iran is the stabilization of the situation in the whole of the Near East. Washington has long believed that it is precisely the Iranian regime that is the destabilizing factor in the region, since Teheran is believed to support all of the region's anti-American forces. Iran's offer is built around Teheran's readiness to cease this practice. In addition Iran, which basically controls Iraq's Shiites, is prepared to do everything necessary to calm the situation in the country and to concern itself with the safety of American troops. Finally, the authorities in Teheran are promising to use their influence over Hezbollah and Hamas, which are closely affiliated with the Shiite Iranian regime, to achieve general stabilization throughout the region.

The payment that Iran is demanding in exchange for such work is an agreement from the West that it can continue with the development of its nuclear program and uranium enrichment. During negotiations with the EU's Javier Solana, Mr. Larijani attempted to show that the current process of enrichment in Iran cannot be considered production – two cascades of a centrifuge, claims Teheran, are the only objectives of its scientific research. According to Mr. Larijani, Iran is prepared to renounce the possibility of industrial uranium enrichment, on the condition that the country is allowed to keep all of the technology that it currently possesses. Teheran considers this offer to be a colossal concession.

It is difficult to judge how the United States will react to Iran's new ideas. Most likely, Washington will not be overly enthusiastic, since if the plan is realized, Washington will end up being held hostage by Iran. If the US does accept Iran's help, it will then be wholly dependent on Iran – and in that case, Teheran will become the virtual master of the Near East. And for that Iran will not even need to develop its own nuclear weapons.

Late last night representatives of the foreign ministries of the "group of six" countries (the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, plus Germany) were scheduled to have a teleconference to determine the date for the upcoming discussion of the Iranian question in the Security Council. However, it is possible that the discussion of the Iranian question in the UN, which the members of the Security Council had apparently finally agreed upon at the end of September, is now in doubt. Iran's offer may turn out to be extremely tempting for the Russian diplomat.

All the Article in Russian as of Oct. 12, 2006



7 posted on 10/15/2006 4:26:34 PM PDT by familyop ("he died for rodeo horse on Jul 25, 1987." - - skanamaru)
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To: Tailgunner Joe

...other related news.

Report: N. Korea gave Iran missile technology
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1719665/posts


8 posted on 10/15/2006 4:30:35 PM PDT by familyop ("he died for rodeo horse on Jul 25, 1987." - - skanamaru)
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To: Tailgunner Joe

“He posed, arms linked, with Russian and Chinese officials, who said nothing as he called for "impartial and independent experts" to investigate whether the Holocaust happened. “

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is delusional but will be humored for the advancement of Russian and Chinese power. Russia has had its eyes on Persian Gulf oil for a long time and China will be needing lots of oil to drive its new economy.


9 posted on 10/15/2006 4:39:42 PM PDT by Keflavik76
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To: Keflavik76

Crude oil is up a little now on the NYMEX, almost to 59.00


10 posted on 10/15/2006 4:41:10 PM PDT by RightWhale (Repeal the law of the excluded middle)
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To: RightWhale

I just tried to buy gas at $2.04 outside a Walmart here in Orlando. Unfortunately the debit/credit network was down.


11 posted on 10/15/2006 4:50:36 PM PDT by Keflavik76
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To: Tailgunner Joe

Oops. Here's the whole link for the GlobalResearch.ca piece that I posted earlier.

http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=ZYG20061012&articleId=3455


12 posted on 10/15/2006 4:54:51 PM PDT by familyop (Essayons)
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To: Tailgunner Joe
The biggest advantage the West has in the war on terror and Islamism is the arrogance of the Islamists.

They are always betraying their hand before they are strong enough to play it. This plays well against the dhimmis in the EU who are sucking this up like mother's milk. And to many in the US who are ready to cling to relativist dogma in the face of screeching reality.

But I'm not so worried about the Russians and Chinese about Iran. There are plenty of reasons to worry otherwise. The Russians have been dealing with Islamic barbarianism and lies for a lot longer than we have. They do not have the "religion of peace" blinders on. The Chinese are about as multicultural as a KKK barbecue. They, as well as the Russians, will only entertain the Iranians as long as there is a perception of mutual gain.

This is how we need to play this. Iran vs USA. If we make it known there are real consequences for sucking up to the Iranians, who are they going to choose?
13 posted on 10/15/2006 5:23:54 PM PDT by outdriving (Diversity is a nice place to visit, but I wouldn't want to live there.)
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To: familyop

So, Iran is getting into the "protection rackets"


14 posted on 10/15/2006 7:48:46 PM PDT by Colorado Doug
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