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I just found a new poll from Datamar dated tomorrow, October 15, 2006. Below is a recap:

                                              September                     October
                                       --------------------------     --------------------------
                                         Yes      No   Don't know     Yes      No   Don't know
Prop 1A  Prop 42 Funding                 43.4    32.4    24.3         44.8    33.3    21.9
Prop 1B  Transportation Bond             55.9    31.2    12.9         51.5    35.5    13.0
Prop 1C  Housing Bond                    34.5    53.9    11.7         33.7    54.7    11.5
Prop 1D  Education Bond                  41.4    46.6    12.0         39.2    50.1    10.7
Prop 1E  Levee Bond                      60.8    27.7    11.5         56.8    31.1    12.0
Prop 83  Jessica’s Law                   79.4    13.0     7.6         75.0    18.0     7.0
Prop 84  Park Bond                       47.6    36.3    16.0         45.7    39.3    15.0
Prop 85  Parental Notification           48.5    42.0     9.5         46.3    45.2     8.5
Prop 86  Cigarette Tax                   52.1    41.0     6.9         42.4    51.5     6.1
Prop 87  Oil Tax                         43.4    44.0    12.6         39.5    50.2    10.2
Prop 88  Parcel Tax                      32.4    55.9    11.7         29.0    61.0    10.0
Prop 89  Taxpayer Funding of Campaigns   27.8    53.8    18.4         25.5    56.6    17.9
Prop 90  End Eminent Domain Abuse        61.3    24.0    14.7         56.0    30.2    13.8

Wow. Immigration has a massive 44% as the most important facing CA. Next is Iraq (16.4%) just edging Public schools (15.9%).

Arnold has a 51% Approval rating while the Legislature has a 63% Disapproval rating.

1% more trust NEITHER (39%) Arnold or the Legislature to make the "tough choices" on the budget than trust Arnold (38%) while only 21% trust the Legislature.

We really needed to scrap the current legislature, redraw the districts and try to bring it back from the abyss of Reconquista socialism.

Thank you for the hot new polling data. I wouldn't put much stock in the absolute percentages, since if you look at the Datamar report it turns out that it's a robo-poll and the mix of people polled (e.g., Republicans vs. Democrats, men vs. women, etc.) is not necessarily representative. Datamar says that it re-weights the results, but that can introduce it's own uncertainties: We aren't looking so much at survey results as at the "secret weighting sauce" which Datamar uses.

Having said that, I give it considerably more credence as a tracking poll. Assuming that the demographic mix and subsequent weightings are consistent, then the movement from September to October is very informative. Obviously the big tax measures are losing ground (great news!) and at least some of the big bond measures are in trouble (more great news). Prop 90 (eminent domain reform) is losing a bit of ground, and I suspect will end up as a nail-biter on election night. The campaign finance measure is so far behind, regardless of my doubts over Datamar's absolute accuracy, that it has zero chance of passing (more great news).

All in all, a fairly encouraging poll.