Posted on 10/14/2006 4:34:21 AM PDT by johnny7
REPUBLICANS and conservatives, brace yourselves! Strategists and consultants of both parties now believe the House is lost and House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi will become speaker. At best, Republicans will cling to control of the Senate by a single seat, two at most. For many election cycles, Republicans have been the boys of October, using paid media and superior campaign skills to make up lost ground and win in November. This year, they were the boys of September, rallying strongly until that fateful day, September 29, when the Mark Foley scandal erupted. October has been a disaster so far. A strong finishing kick for Republicans, minimizing Democratic gains, is possible. They pulled one off brilliantly in President Bush's first midterm election in 2002. But recovery will be harder this time, a lot harder.
The press is fixated on the so-called generic ballot--Do you want a Democratic or Republican Congress?--as an indicator of Republican setbacks on November 7. But that gauge has rarely been predictive. Two others are more reliable: presidential approval and party enthusiasm. And they tell an ominous story for Republicans about the difference between 2002 and 2006.
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
Enjoyed the post. Must be tough working there.
My supposition is that the republican campaign has not really started yet.
Rove & Co probably assume that voter attention is weak until the final ten days. Any news before then will evaporate.
Only hard core news junkies are paying attention and answering poll calls and their votes are decided.
The majority of americans do not care and still have not heard of Foley or know the names of Reid or Hastert or even Dick Cheney.
Just a guess.
And if one checks out this link:
Willie Brown says Angelides will lose election (Schwarzenegger speaks at Brown event)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1719006/posts
The democratic turnout in California does not look good.
With money and activism dropping in California for the dems, how sure a bet are they Oregon or Seattle?
The House can impeach Dubya with a majority vote, but there's no way they can get the votes in the Senate to remove him from office. A Cheney presidency isn't part of the plan and never was. the dems will keep Dubya mired in investigations and hearings for two years, making him look bad, while the MSM will insist that the impeachment proceedings are legitimate. Dubya will be impeached, humiliated, and politically weakened going into the 2008 elections. While he isn't on the ballot in 2008, the hope will be that the negative vibes will harm the GOP candidate in 2008. This has nothing to do with removal from office. It's politics. And revenge for the GOP impeachment of Clinton.
"I disagree withe Fred. The GOP holds on,"
GOP gains both houses. People are lying to the pollsters.
Might change anyway because of the INTERNET.. and bloggers..
Freddie and Billy need to get out of Washington more often.
Actually, if Bush thought he was going to be removed, he could just resign. Then Cheney would have to appoint a new VP — Newt? Then Cheney stays — or resigns or gets removed, making the Newtster the POTUS.
Remember how Watergate unfolded? In the midst of the main scandal, VP Spiro Agnew resigns over a corruption eruption from his days as Maryland governor. Tricky Dick appoints Gerald Ford to replace him. Then, when the Watergate "smoking gun" surfaces, Tricky Dick goes, making Gerry Ford the president. Then Ford famously pardons him and goes on to lose to the peanut farming nuclear physicist in 1976.
Actually, Miss America has no chance of becoming POTUS in any case, because (a) enough 'Rats will defect to prevent the passage of an impeachment resolution and (2) if the House did manage to impeach, the chance of removal by the Senate (67% needed) would be zero. However, what the 'Rats would do is to mount a massive investigation and hold lots of hearings, in hopes of improving their chances in '08.
That's assuming the Donks take the House. What's really going to happen is they're going to wake up Wednesday morning smelling sulphur fumes, and The Great El Diablo will be riding high and we will once again be basking in their rage.
Provided we GOTV!
Yes, indeed, and talk to some real people. Actually there are real people in the Washington area, but the 'elites' don't talk to anyone outside their tiny little club of insiders.
I agree, keep those evil RAT bastards out of office.
"i've never been more motivated to crush the left....pop them like pimples when they try to claim fraud..."
amen.
Does Fred realize the full import of what he's saying?
That an election might turn on the flimsiest, most superficial kind of "scandal" simply because the media has intentionally distorted the landscape?
Is the American electorate really this vacuous and shallow?
I know the liberals believe us all to be ignorant rubes...but are we, really?
--they will cut off funding for the war in Iraq and Afghanistan, defund intelligence program--
If they try to do all that and the Republicans don't go ballistic I would be left to conclude that the west is pretty much finished and the Republican party is hopelessly decadent. Or possibly, the critics were right all along and Bush is a bonehead and the war was a collosal
mistake. Now if the Republicans go ballistic they are not
without resources. The Democrats found that out the last
time they tried to force things their way.
Not quite true. The 1994 pre-election polls showed the Dems in big trouble. So did the 1980 polls. Both times the GOP delivered historic victories.
Wow, please remind me when this experiment was carried out. When the GOP extended tax cuts, or renewed the Patriot Act, or voted to erect a border fence, or voted to nominate an solid conservative Justice Alito, or when Bush vetoed stem-cell research, or when missile defence spending was increased, or when the NSA ruling was appealed, or when anti-Israeli UN resolutions were vetoed? I must have missed the attempts to appease liberals by this administration.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.