Posted on 10/13/2006 6:20:34 PM PDT by axes_of_weezles
Illegal Immigration Shaping Congressional Elections in Key Border States | |
Tucson, Arizona 13 October 2006
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The issue of illegal immigration has stirred passions around the nation in the past year and it is playing a role in some congressional races around the country. One place where it is a big issue is southern Arizona, where the majority of illegal entries from Mexico occur. The candidates for Congress from one district on the Mexican border are competing over who has the best approach to the problem.
Republican candiate for Congress Randy Graf, left, discuss the 14th amendment with Bill Roh, center, and his wife Colleen Roh |
But Randy Graf says the party strategists in Washington don't understand what the immigration issue means for those who live in a district that includes half of the state's total border with Mexico.
"The folks in Washington, D.C. looking at this district from 2,300 miles away I do not think have a complete grasp on what is important to the voters down here and, at the end of the day, this issue of illegal immigration and our open border in a district that has 80 miles [128 kilometers] of border will be one of the primary issues in this campaign," he said.
Although the Republican party is not helping Graf, a private group promoting better enforcement of immigration laws known as The Minutemen is running ads attacking his Democratic opponent, former state legislator Gabrielle Giffords. They and Graf claim she favors policies that would encourage illegal immigration.
Democratic candiate for the 8th District of Congress Gabrielle Giffords, right, shares a private joke with Paul Clinco in the parking lot of the Faith Tabernacle church in Tucson, Arizona |
Giffords rejects that charge.
"We need to solve this problem with a comprehensive approach. I support the approach of Senator John McCain, the approach of Governor Napolitano, Congressman Kolbe, and, yes, even President Bush, in solving this problem," she said. "We need to address this problem with electronic surveillance, high-tech solutions. We need to be able to crack down on employers who are employing these people illegally and we need a guest worker program."
Giffords argues that a guest worker program with a path to citizenship is not a pardon for those who broke immigration laws and therefore not an amnesty. She says she understands the burden illegal immigration has put on this state.
"We are angry in southern Arizona," she explained. "We bear the costs in our law enforcement, our first responders, our hospitals, our clinics and even our schools. It is a federal crisis and the federal government needs to step up and take responsibility."
Bill Dixon |
One recent poll shows Giffords with a substantial overall lead and, Dixon notes, even on the issue of immigration Graf has no advantage.
"It turns out that Graf and Giffords are evenly split, which is quite an interesting result when you think about it," said Mr. Dixon. "On all the other issues, Giffords holds a rather strong lead over Graf. So Graf really will need to go beyond the border issue if he is to make any headway."
Professor Dixon says voters who rally to the cause of defending the border are countered by those who rally behind the immigrants. He says while some taxpayers may resent paying for social services and health care for illegals, others sympathize with them and see them helping the economy.
"Quite frankly, if enforcement started getting really tough on employers, the agriculture industry in southern Arizona would be in deep, deep trouble," he added.
Randy Graf says some new polls show him narrowing the gap and he hopes he will get a boost from a series of upcoming debates in which he can directly challenge his opponent on the immigration issue. Giffords is ahead by anywhere from six to 13 points in recent polls, but so far she has avoided any events in which she would have appeared together with her rival, preferring to wait for the televised debates.
William J. Dixon Page 2 Professional Positions and Honors 2002-2003 President, Peace Science Society (International) http://www.u.arizona.edu/~dixonw/
Nice to have a good leftist globalist moonbat professor say Graf wont win. Dixon's an idiot. Agriculture wont be hurt, construction and service industry (resturants) will be devastated. And the providers of social programs.
Glad I didn't send the RNC any donations this year! Washington is out of touch and needs to do some "undercover" work in towns across the border state concerning the expenses illegal immigration is really causing. Just go walk around the schools and public free services offices....I gotta stop!
I gave to Graf and will probably give some more. The race is far from over. Debates start next week. Giffords is a "former Republican"
Washington is out of touch and needs to do some "undercover" work in towns across the border state concerning the expenses illegal immigration is really causing.
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To say the least -- over $100 BILLION a year is being handed out to ILLEGALS for support each and every year, but such a small sum, the Washington political class does not care...but we did finally allocate $1 Billion for a token piece of fence so the Repubs and Bush do not look like the fools and anti-patriots they really are.
The Democrats/MSM have been saying for weeks that Graf is "too conservative" for this "moderate Republican" district, but I have yet to hear anyone say that Giffords is "too liberal."
Giffords supports amnesty for illegals, is against voter ID, and wants to repeal Bush's tax cuts. How people think she'll win is beyond me.
You think a fence will be built? : )
You think a fence will be built? : )
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Not until we have a conservative in the White House, and an improvement in the level of patriotism in the Congress...
Send for the Administrations new free booklet " 101 Ways To Stall A Fence" I can't believe how many people believe this. It's the election Harlem Shuffle.
Seeing news reports of elephants and a mariachi band coming across the border unimpeded is adding fuel to the immigration fire. Reports of serious efforts to protect our sovereignty appear to have diminished recently. Since it's the "busy" season for field workers, it appears efforts to detain and deport illegals are subdued if carried out at all. Thousands of companies remain with illegals in their employ, and it appears efforts to round them up and ship them out are just about nil.
I think Graf will stun people and pull this one out.
I'm beginning to believe that some of our GOP defeats were engineered by the Bush-controlled RNC as a tactic to dampen opposition to the amnesty bill. IOW--we were sold out of our majority to pass an amnesty bill.
Think about how delighted Tony Snow was on the morning after the defeats of conservative GOP congressmen--I think he tipped the hand of the administration.
I think FR ought to review the articles and commentary surrounding the issue of immigration and 06 Congressional defeats.
I believe at least some of them were engineered by the Bush RNC.
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