Actually, I think this is a no-brainer. But what I DO worry about is marginal Republican voters staying home thinking it's not worth the effort. I wonder if weather could make a difference this year. I don't think it would in a presidential election year, or if the choices were clear. Yes, they're VERY clear to me and FRers, but to a lot of people, this is just muddying the waters. I hope that we pull this one out!
We do have to worry about marginal GOP voters staying home, but the Democrats have to worry about the independents who currently favor them in the polls being so turned off that they stay home too.