If their polling states Ford is ahead by 2, then Ford will lose.
Ford has to be at least 5 points ahead to run dead even with Corker in Tenn. That's the political reality of states that lean conservative. Voters will break for Corker in the end, even if he's not a "conservative, because he's still an "R".
Just as Kean would have to do better then 2-5% to even stand a chance in N.J.
Blech, if Ford is elected I imagine he would stay there for a while. Isn't his brother running for his House seat?