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To: GoldCountryRedneck; Bloody Sam Roberts

More detail from the data - still apples to oranges, but before we were comparing grapes to grapefruit, so it's a little better:

Fatal accidents per 100,000 fight hours = 1.31 (for commercial carriers it was .016)

Fatalities per 100 Million vehicle miles traveled = 1.47

THere is still not quite enough data to be sure, but it looks like the safety rankings are as follows:

Commercial airliner
Driving
General aviation

A couple more notes:
1. The aviation stats are for fatal accidents per 100,000 hours, not fatalities per 100,000 hours.
2. The number 321 you cited was for fatal accidents, not fatalities. The 321 accidents resulted in 557 fatalities (+ 5 more on the ground). The commercial carriers rate I cited includes 3 accidents with 20 + 2 fatalities.
3. What we really need is fatalities per passenger mile for both air and car (including pilot/driver as "passengers.")
4. The aviation data tends to vary wildly from year to year, from what I remember from other sources (especially the fatalities number). In 2005, there were 22 deaths related to 10 CFR 121 air travel (which I assume is the major airlines from the other numbers. One major accident can obliterate that number.


72 posted on 10/12/2006 12:46:35 AM PDT by Gil4 (This tagline for rent - cheap!)
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To: Gil4; Bloody Sam Roberts
"...still apples to oranges, but before we were comparing grapes to grapefruit, so it's a little better:"

Point taken on Fatal Accidents vs Fatalities, but my point was that, as too many here and elsewhere go to the bottom line 'body count', the sheer numbers don't support a "way too dangerous" position.

Nor, Sam, did I say that GA was less dangerous than driving.... Simply that, from a statistical perspective, the numbers don't support the hysteria regarding this tragic accident.

I'm still more worried about the drive to the airport than actually flying...

81 posted on 10/12/2006 2:06:41 PM PDT by GoldCountryRedneck ("It's never too late to have a happy childhood" - unknown)
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