I did notice that but it's unclear how they asked the question/s to arrive at the 7% other. I did make CO-04 a bit more secure on my own lists though. Here's the latest ordering of Toss Ups and Leans.
Lean Democratic
1 (AZ-08) Kolbe*
2 (TX-22) DeLay*
3 (FL-16) Foley*
4 (CO-07) Beauprez*
5 (PA-10) Sherwood
6 (NY-26) Reynolds
7 (IN-08) Hostettler
8 (IN-02) Chocola
9 (IA-01) Nussle*
10 (PA-06) Gerlach
Toss Up
11 (NY-24) Boehlert*
12 (NC-11) Taylor
13 (CT-02) Simmons
14 (IN-09) Sodrel
15 (KY-04) Davis
16 (IL-06) Hyde*
17 (PA-07) Weldon
18 (OH-15) Pryce
19 (NM-01) Wilson
20 (CT-04) Shays
21 (OH-18) Ney*
22 (VA-02) Drake <<
23 (WA-08) Reichert
24 (OH-01) Chabot
25 (WI-08) Green*
26 (FL-22) Shaw
Lean Republican
27 (MN-06) Kennedy*
28 (PA-08) Fitzpatrick
29 (CT-05) Johnson
30 (NY-20) Sweeney
31 (FL-13) Harris*
32 (CO-04) Musgrave
33 (AZ-05) Hayworth
34 (OH-02) Schmidt
35 (WY-AL) Cubin
36 (NV-02) Gibbons*
37 (KY-03) Northup
38 (CA-11) Pombo
39 (NY-25) Walsh
40 (NV-03) Porter
41 (CO-05) Hefley*
42 (TX-23) Bonilla
Your list looks good. Any reason why TX-23 is back into Lean, other than Foley cash? His opponents still look as pathetic as ever.
I guess KY-04 needs to be slightly lower on your list.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=c3f3ca8d-13b3-46ce-b6ac-484f3f30fb1f
Didn't you have the Kolbe seat below numero uno before? :) From 9 or maybe 10, depending on the reading of the oddities coming out of Iowa, to about 23, I don't see much difference. Mix and match. About half of them will more likely than not go Dem however. I don't think the Dems will get much below 23 however, absent a big wave, maybe a couple.
What does the asterisk mean?
How about current Dem seats? Are they so cocky to think every single one of them is secure? I'd say Irey has a decent shot at upsetting Murtha in PA.