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To: Torie; okstate; Sam Spade; crasher

I've moved Reynolds up to #23. It's still a work-in-progress for my next 'official' revision, but here's the GOP Top 30 on my House list right now.

Lean Democratic

1 (CO-07) Beauprez*
2 (TX-22) DeLay*
3 (AZ-08) Kolbe*
4 (IA-01) Nussle*
5 (IN-08) Hostettler
6 (IN-09) Sodrel
7 (IN-02) Chocola
8 (CT-02) Simmons

Toss Up

9 (FL-16) Foley*
10 (PA-06) Gerlach
11 (NY-24) Boehlert*
12 (PA-10) Sherwood
13 (NC-11) Taylor
14 (KY-04) Davis
15 (IL-06) Hyde*
16 (PA-07) Weldon
17 (OH-15) Pryce <<
18 (WA-08) Reichert
19 (CT-04) Shays
20 (WI-08) Green*
21 (VA-02) Drake
22 (OH-01) Chabot

Lean Republican

23 (NY-26) Reynolds
24 (NM-01) Wilson
25 (CO-04) Musgrave
26 (FL-22) Shaw
27 (MN-06) Kennedy*
28 (PA-08) Fitzpatrick
29 (CT-05) Johnson
30 (OH-18) Ney*


1,469 posted on 09/30/2006 2:34:21 PM PDT by AntiGuv ("..I do things for political expediency.." - Sen. John McCain on FOX News)
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To: AntiGuv

Isn't Beauprez running for Gov? Perhaps you mean the open seat being vacated by Beauprez.


1,482 posted on 09/30/2006 3:38:13 PM PDT by rfp1234 (I've had it up to my keyster with these leaks!!! - - - Ronald Reagan)
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To: AntiGuv

I have been formulating my own House ratings recently, and you and I agree on most things. I have Foley's seat as more vulnerable, for one. I have Boehlert's seat a little bit safer for us, but that's just a feeling on my part maybe. I have Ney and Northup in more trouble and Chabot's seat and Drake in less trouble. I also have Pryce in less trouble and I think Schmidt is my list

Lastly I am still not ready to remove Cubin from my vulnerable list. She did horribly in the primaries and the last poll I saw was Rasmussen (granted, in May) but she only was leading by 4. If there's a more recent poll, by the way, I would be glad to hear of it.


1,517 posted on 10/01/2006 12:30:35 AM PDT by okstate
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To: AntiGuv

I cannot really disagree with your list, based on what we know at the moment.


1,532 posted on 10/01/2006 3:38:52 PM PDT by Torie
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