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Tradesports: GOP control of House approaching 60%!
Tradesports.com ^ | 09/22/06

Posted on 09/22/2006 11:18:42 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat

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To: Hannibal Hamlin
Hannibal good point. I remember that, they also blew the Mexican election. In their defense they had Bush at 51% before the bogus polls came out, so maybe it was a anomaly. they were pretty accurate on the 2005 VA Gov race.

Tradesports biggest supporter seems to be CNBC Wall Streeter Larry Kudlow, who says it is a good barometer. Who knows?
21 posted on 09/22/2006 11:56:48 AM PDT by Welike ike
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To: Recovering_Democrat

Look I have been saying that we will pick up seats since last Sept. These degenerate gamblers don't know what they are talking about. Yes it is nice that THEY have now seen what many of us have seen right along, but who cares? The swing in the wind like a dirty sheet on a clothesline. One psyops poll from zombie and they will be saying the rat will win.


22 posted on 09/22/2006 12:00:03 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (DON'T BELIEVE PESSIMISM: FEELINGS ARE FOR LOVE SONGS. FACTS ARE FOR PREDICTING WHO WINS IN NOV)
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To: Cobra64

Cobra good point. We need to slam the door shut and not ease up. Remember the DEMS ahve the Media behind them.


23 posted on 09/22/2006 12:00:12 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: uncbob

We need to send Thank You notes to Hugo " El Gordo" Chavez and the moronic Liberals of New York for showing how traitorous the Left really is.


24 posted on 09/22/2006 12:01:48 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: Hannibal Hamlin
On election day 2004, Trade Sports went totally nuts as gamblers reacted to phony exit poll numbers, and then to the news that the leaked exit poll numbers were not accurate.

And I'm kicking myself to this day that I had neglected to fund my Tradesports account before Election Day; I was certain those exit polls were screwy, so I went to Tradesports to make a few bucks, and then remembered my account was tapped.

Now if Ken Blackwell can only pull it out here in Ohio, I'll not only be happy, I'll be somewhat wealthier. :)

25 posted on 09/22/2006 12:01:52 PM PDT by TonyInOhio (God - Country - Notre Dame)
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To: uncbob

You have to wonder if Karl Rove personally approved the Visas for Chavez and the Iranian Hitler? Rove is brilliant.


26 posted on 09/22/2006 12:03:26 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: jmaroneps37

Good point. If a poll came out from a Bias Hack Pollster like PEW reasearch(With a 80% to 20 DEM oversampled poll) saying the DEMS were surging it would probably affect Tradesports.


27 posted on 09/22/2006 12:06:32 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: Recovering_Democrat
Can you say "long night Kool aid for Democrats"?

Kool aid.

28 posted on 09/22/2006 12:08:18 PM PDT by Drango (Born free, now expensive.)
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To: TonyInOhio

Tony, keep an eye on Illinois also. Rumours are swirling that Governor Rod Sleazovich is in deep trouble over State Job and bribery fraud. The FEDS publicly said yesterday that he is under investigation, and the US Attorney For Chicago is Patrick Fitzgerald. Many think that a Grand Jury is convening at this moment.


29 posted on 09/22/2006 12:14:28 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: Recovering_Democrat
Also a pretty respected barometer of National Elections, the Iowa Electronic Markets, has the GOP House at its highest levels since June. They currently have the Democrats with only a 42% chance to take the House, and no Chance to win the Senate.
30 posted on 09/22/2006 12:18:10 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: Recovering_Democrat

Lemme know when they start rating "GOP GAINS SEATS," as I have predicted.


31 posted on 09/22/2006 12:22:45 PM PDT by LS
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To: uncbob
Astounding. "GOP ain't the smartest campaigners." This to the party that despite the polls and all history, won the last seven house elections, and the last three senate elections (before the Jeffords back-stabbing).

I'd say the GOP are damn good campaigners.

32 posted on 09/22/2006 12:24:30 PM PDT by LS
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To: Welike ike

AP Nov.8,2006 0800 EST Howard Dean:"We have evidence of widespread voting irregularities in minority precincts."


33 posted on 09/22/2006 12:24:47 PM PDT by Ieatfrijoles
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To: Recovering_Democrat

...and Rove's "October Surprise" is yet to come! ;-)


34 posted on 09/22/2006 12:26:23 PM PDT by TChris (The United Nations is suffering from delusions of relevance.)
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To: LS

Hey the best assett of the GOP campaigns is the GOTV troops. They will flood every swing district 2 weeks before the election and turn tossups into GOP wins. Rahm Emanuel has even admitted this, and he is a troll.


35 posted on 09/22/2006 12:26:48 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: Recovering_Democrat
On the other hand...

StrategyPage Prediction Market

Historical Correct at Close: 90.00%

Correct Over Lifetime: 85.07%

At least one house in Congress will change majority party in the Nov. election.

Pro 1597 Con 1220

Your results may differ.

36 posted on 09/22/2006 12:27:35 PM PDT by pabianice
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To: pabianice
How about the LS predictor: last two elections, 99% on the actual contended senate seats and within 30 ev (one state, PA) of calling the final EV total.

The only two races I missed in two elections were the Coors/Salazar race in CO in 2004 and the Thune/Johnson race in 2002 in SD.

And I say, not only do we hold both, we have a slight GAIN in each.

37 posted on 09/22/2006 12:29:27 PM PDT by LS
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To: Ieatfrijoles

Howard Dean 12:01 AM November 7th, 2006 AP/Reuters

" We feel the reason we lost the House is due to GOP/Nazi Party Voter Suppression in Black Neighborhoods!!

Reporter: Chairman Dean, there are no Republican Congressman in Black Neighborhoods and a matter of facts all Black Districts were uncontested by the GOP!!

Dean: Are you a member of the Rove Nazi Party(SCREAM!!!!) are you a racist, are you the devil?

Reporter: This guy is nuts, I am outta here, to think I am Liberal also.


38 posted on 09/22/2006 12:32:36 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: dirtboy
And preferably a full one from an all-you-can-eat Korean restaurant this time.
39 posted on 09/22/2006 12:33:31 PM PDT by Tokra (I think I'll retire to Bedlam.)
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To: LS

I agree LS, you lead I follow buddy.


40 posted on 09/22/2006 12:33:59 PM PDT by Welike ike
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