Republican Kyl leads Democrat Pederson by 5 for AZ Senate seat (Survey USA)

Survey USA ^ | 19 September 2006 | Survey USA

[okstate]

This poll is probably an outlier. The MOE is about 5 percent either direction, which means Kyl could lead by as much as 15 and the poll would still be "valid". I think the real measure of the race right now is one span of the margin of error away from this result, which gives Kyl a 10 point lead.

AZ Trendlines:

09-18 Survey USA ........... Kyl +5
08-29 Arizona St. Univ. .... Kyl +10
08-24 Rasmussen ............. Kyl +17

[okstate]

Partisan breakdown of the poll is 44 percent GOP, 33 percent Dem, 21 percent Ind. Seems pretty accurate, actually.

[okstate]

Survey USA says Kyl is only up five in Arizona. Ping.

[DemforBush]

Fill me in, folks. Is Kyl a conservative or a RINO?

[bnelson44]

Registered Voters: Dem 34.6% | Rep 39.9% | Other 25.5%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/senate/az/arizona_senate_race-35.html

[NaughtiusMaximus]

The Arizona Republic will publish its slate and the Arizona voters will march out of Seizure World to the polls in one robotic mass and vote it. Ignore the polls.

[okstate]

Kyl is an excellent conservative Senator, to my knowledge.

Certainly no DeWine, Specter, or Chafee.

[nj26]

Kyl is a conservative.

And, fortunately, he also hasn't been sticking his foot in his mouth like several other Republican incumbents.

He will win this race. No problem.

[bnelson44]

He is a pro-Bush Republican

[okstate]

Oversampled Republicans in the poll?

[bnelson44]

Since when do Republicans follow the rag?

[bnelson44]

Looks like it, or assumed independents will vote republican. My guess is independents in this state will tend to vote for Kyl when push comes to shove.

[kaktuskid]

This is a BS poll produced for Gannett, owner of the AZ Republic and channel 12...a left leaning, abysmal fish-wrapper that is losing circulation. Any one that believes that Bankruptcy-boy Pederson can be leading in Phoenix and behind in liberal Tucson is a fool.

[msnimje]

Senator Kyl is + 11% on the Real Clear Politics AVERAGE of all polls.

[ncountylee]

199 of sample are not even registered voters. Useless poll.

[okstate]

"This is a BS poll produced for Gannett, owner of the AZ Republic and channel 12"

I assure you that Survey USA does not cook their results for their clients. But like I said, it may just be a bad sample at the other end of the margin of error.

[okstate]

Did you not read the thread? The topline results are based ONLY on the LIKELY VOTERS portion of the poll.

[ConservativeStatement]

http://www.ontheissues.org/Senate/Jon_Kyl.htm

[kaktuskid]

Plus polling done on a weekend is inaccurate...remember the weekend polls during the presidential elections.

[okstate]

The last polls before the Presidential election were done over the weekend and all predicted the correct result except for Marist College, Zogby, and FOX News