[dangus]

More News:

Constituent Dynamics has polled what it considers to be the hottest 30 races. Their results are not being reported, and I've never heard of their outfit, so maybe they are fly-by-night. That said, of the polls from districts where I've seen other polls, their results seem more to the Democrats.

They show the following Republican seats in trouble:
Rick O'Donnell (CO-7) trailing by 2. (Open seat)
Rob Simmons (CT-2) trailing by 6.
Mike Whalen (IA-1) trailing by 13. (Open seat)
Peter Roskam (IL-6) trailing by 1. (Open seat) (opponent Duckworth had huge name advantage.)
Charles Taylor (NC-11) trailing by 3.
Jim Gerlach (PA-6) trailing by 5.
Don Sherwood (PA-10) trailing by 7.
Dave Reichert (WA-8) trailing by 3. (Other polls showed Reichert with a comfy lead.)
Thelma Drake (VA-2) trailing by 8.

I am not counting races where no primary has been held yet.

[dangus]

The same polling firm shows only two Republicans leading tight races, Geoff Davis (+3), and Heather Wilson (+3). They are still polling three races, including Chris Chocola. It looks like the worst-case scenario is currently that Republicans lose 14 seats. Based on today's polling, I'd say that if the polls were held today, the Republicans lose 7 seats. The reality will probably be better than that.

[no dems]

Wow! That's nine seats we have a possibility of losing right there. Not good.

[Welike ike]

Dangus, C dynamics is a DEM internal pollster who is with the DSCC. Grain of Salt. If you look at their website you will see that they are new with no track record. They rely on home phone surveys, where Republicans usually hang up. In the days of Cellular phones, these polls are worthless.