Not a trick question. As you are no doubt aware, some of the polling done in this country is done without factoring in all the elements that go into public perceptions.
There is a minority here in Florida who would not, under ANY circumstances, ever vote for a Republican. Nobody expects KH will do well in Palm Beach county, but she is sure to do well up and down most of Florida's Gulf Coast, and particularly in the Tampa Bay area. So she has several power bases within the state, and in a head-to-head confrontation with Bill Nelson (against whom she has ALWAYS directed her campaign), KH comes off as smarter, prettier and more believable, as well as far more worthy of trust.
When the snowbirds return from New York and New Jersey in October and November, of course, the demographics may shift. But they all go to Florida's East Coast. They are largely counterbalanced by the snowbirds that come down from Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota and other population centers in the heartland, flocking to the Gulf Coast. So the demographics are still in balance.
Republicans CAN win, and that includes Katherine Harris. Do you want them to?
Has FLorida taken care of the little problem of "snow birds" voting in two states yet? Just wondering?????
A Republican should have a natural advantage in Florida. But Katherine Harris is going to be roadkill. Sorry, but the polls don't lie. The GOP should have nominate someone who actually had a realistic chance to win.