The same thing is happening in South Florida after decades of portable classrooms and school overcrowding. Now there is negative growth.
The same thing is happening in parts of our district in San Jose also. The older part near downtown has declining enrollment, but the southern more suburban area has increasing enrollment. The district has declining enrollment overall.
The district decided to close several schools last year. You would think they would close them in the northern part of the district. But they didn't. They closed my kids' school in the southern part of the district.
It wouldn't have been good for the poor northern schools to have been closed, even if they have horrible test scores. Closing those schools would have impacted the neighborhood too much.
So they closed a school with great test scores in an an area with increasing enrollment.
We're in private this year, and we love it. It is full of sensible people running it.