Why was Strayhorn's poll so different?
The other three polls worked on the historically accurate assumption the Republican base vote is about 43 percent. The Strayhorn poll says that 43 percent is too high; that five percent of Republicans are fed up and will vote independent. She thinks this year the base vote will be down to 38 percent.
She may be right. With a backdrop of Iraq to Terry Schiavo, national polling suggests that conservative Republicans are holding fast but moderates seem to be looking for a change.
Plethora of polls leading up to election day
8mm
On Election Day, our country will make critical decisions about the types of leaders we will have for years to come. If you have not been doing so, it is time to begin looking more carefully at the candidates who will be running. There are races for the US House of Representatives and the US Senate. There are also races at the state and local level, such as state legislatures and governors.
Another voter guide to see how candidates stand in your state (includes pro-life issue)
8mm
Because liberals play "Make Believe" and jigger the figures to get the ones they want. Here they simply changed one assumption and voila! -- they got the numbers they assumed! It is amazing.
I have a better rule. Never trust any poll, any pollster, or any "reporter" who reports polls as is they meant something.