Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: DallasJ7; Torie; AntiGuv
Some other polls in last day or two conflict with these results. The Dems released a poll showing Sherwood up 46 to 42 over Carney - I have a hard time believeing their own poll was biased in favor of the GOPer by an 11 point spread. The Dems also released a poll showing Simmons down 41 to 40 against Coutney, also have trouble believing that poll was biased against their candidate. Finally, the GOP released a poll showing our guy up 11 in the NY open.

Rothenburg's recent column casts doubt on Reichert being behind in polling - I don't believe that result until it is confirmed elsewhere. Rothenburg also said the Dems were not making much progress picking up seats in NY in general. I assume Drake is listed as a tossup for a reason, but I don't imagine other polling has her down 9, if it has her down at all.

685 posted on 09/06/2006 8:59:33 PM PDT by crasher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 673 | View Replies ]


To: crasher

Your point is an excellent one and one that I tend to hold myself. Because of the nature of internal polling public releases, I would typically throw out any poll that showed a result better than an internal result for that candidate. Of course, every once in a while, a candidate does release an internal poll that is accurate for his race. For the most part, this is exceeding rare, however.

Of course, a lot of these problems could have to with the summer polling phenomenon that I've noted countless times before. Or maybe the methodology of this new poll is simply in error; without crosstabs it's kind of hard for me to make guesses on this.


689 posted on 09/07/2006 5:07:40 AM PDT by Sam Spade
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 685 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson