Well, from what I can tell, the only question is whether Harris can at least do better than Alan Keyes against Obama. But this doesn't say much, especially given that Florida is much redder than Illinois.
Well, of course. You live a thousand miles away, and all you know about the race is what's in the mainframe media and what's in the MoveOn 'astroturfing' script that's plastered all over the web. You probably shouldn't rely on those to form your opinion of what might happen. No one else does.