McBride's 5 pts behind Harris. I'll grant you that McBride has an uphill climb against Nelson, but he's got a much better chance than Harris. Harris has maxed out, and she's still more than 40 pts behind Nelson. The only way Harris could win this election is if Nelson dropped dead.
McBride has kind of a wild card because as many have noted, he's Hispanic. I suspect that he would cut into some of Nelson's Hispanic support, and that might make it a closer race than some think.
You're overlooking a similar 'wild card' with Harris among women. It is among women that Nelson gets most of his support; men split almost 50-50 on Nelson as far as approve/disapprove is concerned.
Today, all of the candidates running in the GOP primary fare equally poorly against Nelson. So what? August polls showed Mondale tied with Reagan; they showed Dukakis beating Bush-41. The mainframe media seems to think that if they repeat this stuff enough times, it will come true. But it doesn't.
Sure, McBride will get some votes. So will Collins. But come next Wednesday, Katherine Harris will be the GOP nominee. At that point, I hope we will see the end of the Harris bashing except from Democrats.