There are some big, big differences (in order of most reliable to least) between Cook and Rothenburg, Chuck Todd, CQ, Novak, and the mydd list. I am not surprised by Drake where she is, since Cook has her in same place. And Cook pulled trigger to put her in tossup column fairly early, before NY-24 as I recall (and for that matter he still has OH-15 and PA-07 as leaning R which may be right, but gives you a sense of why I take it serious when he pulled trigger on Dtake that there was a real race).
I am just not sure why so many are pulling the trigger on Drake. Bush got 58% in her district. What is wrong with Drake? I really respect Rothenberg, but would quibble with some of his placements, like Northrup, but it is within the ballpark. Then again, he does this for a living, and works hard at it, and has access to more information than I. I would like to see a poll for the Hostettler race. He is such an odd character, that applying generalities to him, just isn't my bag.