[ChessExpert]

"Pretty amazing how we went from the dems winning both house and senate, to at least the house, to now maybe neither-at least according to the NYTimes latest predictions."

I've read that elections tend to "tighten-up." I think the real phenomenon is that the press comes up with phony polls that show the Democrats will win. This drives the money from business and some others toward the Democrats, because you want to support a winner and money spent on the loser is lost. But the press doesn't want to be embarrassed and lose credibility with memorable bad predictions. So the press starts to get honest as the election nears. This way the press helps their party, the Democratic party, without losing credibility.

[Welike ike]

Chess great point. The media starts to move away from the Summer Phony wars and becomes realistic.