Posted on 08/29/2006 8:13:30 AM PDT by icwhatudo
This is a great interactive election map showing which seats are safe, which are leaners, which voted for Bush vs Kerry, etc etc.
Pretty amazing how we went from the dems winning both house and senate, to at least the house, to now maybe neither-at least according to the NYTimes latest predictions.
http://www.nytimes.com/ref/washington/2006ELECTIONGUIDE.html?currentDataSet=senANALYSIS
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
It is interesting how they have Conn. as a safe Dem senate seat but Lieberman is leading the poll as an independant.
New Strategic Vision poll has both WA and MI in play for the Republicans (McGavick down 5% in WA---just outside MOE---and Bouchard down just 7% in MI, and in both states there is a strong dislike of the Dem governor!)
Well, one of those "toss ups" is probably safe GOP---Ney's seat, which Padgett will get. And Melissa Bean is barely "leaning Dem," and is highly vulnerable, as is Mollohan in W. VA. Spratt, in NC, has been said to be vulnerable, too. I don't know enough about the individual races to make a comment, though.
bookmarked for reference
We will ADD to the majority by one or two seats. Mark my words.
fantastic map
I saw that, too; also saw that in VT they regard Comrade Bernie Sanders, independent, as a Dem. because he's likely to side with them on procedural issues or something like that.
And here's another interesting map link to district by district House races, and Senate races.
Of course in Mass., Ted Kennedy leads Kevin Scott (tech.
not the GOP nominee yet; there's another candidate as well,
named Ken Chase; primary is Sep 19) by a huge margin in fundraising and cash on hand. Hoping for a miracle but not holding my breath that the Senator in office since the year of my birth, 1962, might go down. REALLY would be amazing if that happened.
And on the Liberal-Conservative graph, Ted is pictured as far left as one can go. Even to the left of Kerry...sez them....
That was a delusion in their fevered moonbat brains. It was never looking like that would really happen in the actual races themselves.
He is running as a Lieberman. He might well win, but that won't change his voting. He will still be voting with the Ds even if he is a Lieberman.
Rightroots has a list of 18 conservatives (non-incumbents) vying for office, including Michael Steele and Diana Irey.
It elected a Democrat in 1996 who was defeated by Mark Green two years later. That was a fluke, though.
At this time, in 2004, Kerry was projected to be president. The purpose of the projections is merely to try to determine where the close races will be; therefore, in what races to invest.
At this time, Democrats are wondering how much they should commit to AZ, NV, TN and VA (i.e., the sixth seat). Republicans are wondering how much they should commit to MD, MI, MN, NJ and WA (i.e., pick-up opportunities).
Last time out, Republicans made an early decision to not fund WI, which they later tried to reverse (in part because WI was also a competitive state in the Presidential race). The Republican candidate lost by 10 points. I'm not saying the early decision was a mistake, because the Republicans did well in 2004 by concentrating on the races that they concentrated on.
This time, the Democrats may hurt themselves by trying to win control of the Senate, instead of being satisfied with merely a net pick-up. Republicans may hurt themselves by being too defensive.
BTW I am thinking that the Republicans will again write-off WI to their own regret.
Good post. BUMP.
ping the map.
Thanks for the ping
can't wait till November...
Republicans should be elected with a warning that the constituents aren't nearly as partisan as the candidates. Joe Schwarz made a big deal of the fact that John McCain, President Bush, and the GOP supported him but it didn't do him a bit of good because he didn't support his constituents.
I considered sitting out our governors race. Granholm is simply ineffective and I'm not sure I trust DeVos. However I'm going to vote for him and watch closely. If I don't like what I see I can vote against him next time around.
I think that's a good warning for all politicians. Yes, the party provides plenty of perks and resources, but you are ultimately accountable to the people who put you in office.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.