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"Who is thinking "I'll put the Dems in power, they'll clear up this Iran mess"?"
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The Rats will do what they always do, lie. They will say that Iran got the bomb because we went into Iraq and if we pull out things will settle down. Also, once Iran has the bomb they can become even more aggressive to their neighbors and there isn't much we can do about it for fear they will use it. All of this will play into its "all the Pubs fault" which will cost the the Pubs those squishy rino voters.

I think we have more to fear from losing hardcore conservative voters than we do squishy RINO voters. I see no evidence of RINO's suddenly backing Dems on Iran if they haven't been turned off to the Administration already, but I've read a LOT of conservative displeasure with Bush here, including calls to "teach them a lesson". We can't blame RINos and Dems for every single thing when we have some conservatives actively pushing to "teach them a lesson" this fall.