"What an Idiot"
Bastardi, does like to hype, but this Northwest Atlantic Visible loop definitely shows Ernesto gathering it back in.
My concern now would be just how much it is pushing west, it just may hug Cuba's coast too much to intensify. If it does start reaching northerly more though, well just in the last two hours it already bloomed a pretty good cluster of storms, who knows?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-vis.html
Cat 2 probably not, strong cat 1 not out of the question if this burst continues.
-t