[NautiNurse]

Yes, the potential storm track is confusing. Tough call for folks like you who have to make evacuation decisions. New advisory due out soon, then maybe by the 5PM advisory there will be something more dependable.

I never trust a storm that nears the Gulf Stream.

[dirtboy]

I never trust a storm that nears the Gulf Stream.

Amen to that. Crossing the Gulf Stream blew Hugo up to a Cat 4 right before landfall in SC.

[dirtboy]

2 pm intermediate is out:

They can't get the Hurricane Hunters in there because it's still over Cuba.

Here's what's interesting - comparing this to the sat photos, if that is the actual position of the center, the convection has been all blown well east of it - there is no convection I can see west of 75W.