TS/Hurricane/TS Ernesto

NWS/NHC ^ | 28 August 2006 | NHC

[RDTF]

oh man that one is heading right for DC. arrrggghh!

[sig226]

I saw my first ever tornado this morning, and I used to live in Texas. It was off Delray Beach, north of Linton Boulevard.

Not my picture.

[twin2]

Your office is closed in Jupiter? How nice, I'm in Miami and was told to come in and we'll see how the day goes. Geez, they wonder why moral in low.

I'm going to watch Prison Break and relax for a bit.

[nwctwx]

Today's track over land, up close:



8pm center location:



Ernesto is finally feeling the ridge to the north. This westward bend was expected, but I (and many others) figured it would be way sooner. Could be interesting if it continues out to open water... but, it's keeping the center over land longer now.

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

I got to see it a little and this ol' puter had to have a Window-Wash,,,

[CFC__VRWC]

The office I work in is in Lakeland - the Jupiter office is one of our branches. So I get to go to work tomorrow anyway.

On the current track, Ernesto makes its closest approach to Lakeland sometime Wednesday afternoon. I expect the managers will keep a sharp eye on it tomorrow, and make a decision in the afternoon about whether we open for business on Wednesday.

[oceanview]

what this now, its going to hop back into the water after skirting florida and hit south carolina as a cat 1?

[RDTF]

[RDTF]

some say CAT2...

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

That's what I was looking at earlier,,South of Cuba ???
Is it being pushed from behind and pulled by the rotation in the Western Gulf ??? or ???

[nwctwx]

Right now it seems to be bumping into the ridge still over the southeast U.S. The ridge has clockwise rotation, so it pushes things to the west that are south of it. There is a trough of low pressure moving across the U.S. right now that should displace it, and allow the storm to resume a more northerly course, but the way things have been going...

[dirtboy]

Considering that a yesterday morning it was forecast to hit Tampa from the Gulf side as a Cat 3, I wouldn't worry about the forecast that far out quite yet.

[Vermonter]

I wouldn't worry about the forecast that far out quite yet.

But we have narrowed down what country it's going to hit next.... haven't we? ;-}

[bwteim]

That model appears to have a smidgen. But that's just one model of a bunch;)

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

Good Point,,,I still wonder how far West and how far North
The Whole System is moving ?? Considering the Conditions ?

[STARWISE]

That's a definite waterspout .. good pic. Did it break up?

[bwteim]

"Considering that a yesterday morning it was forecast to hit Tampa from the Gulf side as a Cat 3"

Quite a difference, wasn't it?

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

It could still go in the Gulf,,,maybe ?

[Frank_2001]

We have arrived, baby! Dat White House ain't gonna be "white" much longer! Right on!;))

[STARWISE]

Interesting animated Skeetobite track .. hit play

http://flhurricane.com/sbanimator.php?year=2006&storm=5