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To: AFPhys
This reminds me of the pundits in 1972. The polls said Nixon's approval was in the mid to high 30s. How could Nixon win?

Not only did he win he won a bigger percentage of the vote than Reagan did in 1984. Nixon won 60.7 percent of the votes. He came with in 1/10 of one percent of wining the biggest victory of the 20th century. He nearly broke FDR's record.

How could Nixon's 39 percent job approval turn into a 60.7 percent win?

It is pretty simple to figure out. It is the same situation today. The media and Fred Barnes things the lack of support for Bush is about Iraq. And that is true. But only a small percentage want us to get out of Iraq. The latest polls show only 22 percent of likely voters want to pull out of IRAQ.

Only 39 percent think Bush is doing a good job. But another 22 percent want him to kick ass and take names. They want him to fight harder. These voters are not going to vote for a Cut and Run Democrat. It is apparent in the inability of John Murtha to get people to campaign for him. In fact no one wants Murtha to campaign FOR them. Democrats want him to go away.

Why do the media polls under poll Republicans? Because they assume those hard core Republicans are not going to vote for Democrats. And since they don't support President Bush, they are not going to vote.

Yet, when the choice comes to stay the course or cut and run... stay the course wins. The voters who want to nuke em and then come home will be scared to death that Democrats might take over and surrender.

The turnout will be big and the media will be telling us that voters changed their minds in the last 24 hours.

This is a good year to be a Republican... It is just that the Washington Pundits don't know it... yet.

17 posted on 08/26/2006 2:28:26 PM PDT by Common Tator
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To: Common Tator

I can't believe it.

You wrote a whole post and didn't dis the President on border stuff.

Very interrresting.


25 posted on 08/26/2006 3:06:13 PM PDT by altura (Bushbot No. 1 - get in line.)
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To: Common Tator

Uhm, I think most of Nixons victory in 72 was due to the fact that his opponent was George McGovren.


32 posted on 08/26/2006 4:25:41 PM PDT by RFT1
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To: Common Tator
We have an interesting situation here in Iowa. The Democrat Congressional Committee is supposedly pulling their financial support for Boswell because he is so far ahead of challenger, Jeff Lamberti that they're putting their money elsewhere.

I don't believe it for one minute. Lamberti is a good candidate.

50 posted on 08/27/2006 5:52:55 AM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
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