LOL. The Rothenberg prediction of minus 20-25 seats is more relevant however. Rothernberg is not senile, and does his homework, and I respect him. I am back to around minus 15 seats myself, plus or minus, but I don't do this for a living.
I think as it stands now, worst case, we lose 10 House seats, though I'd have to go and count state by state to see. Problem is, a lot of it is gut feeling and guesswork, simply because I have too little info on so many races, and what is there is often flawed or questionable. The media is often johnny-on-the-spot with highlighting supposedly vulnerable Republicans (or doing their damndest to make them vulnerable) while blatantly ignoring potentially vulnerable Dems. I'd imagine if our beloved Murtha in PA were a Republican, we'd be seeing polling data on a weekly basis, but since he isn't, he's ignored and presumed "safe." Same goes for others like Mollohan, et al.