Ok... I was talking about what pundits and semi-neutral sources have predicted, NOT the Carvilles et al. I laughed when Terry McAuliffe said he was taking out Jeb Bush and his little boy got spanked bad on election day.
A complicating factor is that the Democrats were like 5 seats away from taking over the House in 2002, so predicting a Democrat takeover knowing the historical record on mid-term elections was not a dramatic prediction. People kept calling it the "Seinfeld election", the election about nothing, and since the polling see-sawed and showed incumbents strong they didn't know what to make of it. And then redistricting and security-minded voters voted Republican all over the country, and it was a good night.