[F.J. Mitchell]

Stupid is,as stupid votes.

I do hope that the stupidity of the electoret, has been grossly over estimated.

[AHerald]

I have a folder on my computer entitled "Crow eaters" which I've kept since the 2000 election campaign. In it are stored predictions, polls, op-eds, etc., all forcasting doom and gloom for the GOP and Bush. Needless to say, they make for very amusing reading now. This article will now join that collection.

[Skooz]

Anyone remember how many seats the Republicans were supposed to lose in 2002? 2004?

[HostileTerritory]

This assessment is a few weeks out of date. A spate of recent polls (Hotline, Gallup, WA-8) have shown some movement away from the 'RATs lately.

[Libertarian444]

[NeoCaveman]

Numbers mean nothing without names and states.

We might lose one in Texas or we might break even.
California: no change.
New Jersey: no change.
Ohio: may lose one (Pryce)or might pick up one (OH-6)
Geogia and IL: break even or pick up one.
Minnesota: no change.
PA and CT: Could lose up to two each, more likely to break even.
NY: lose one or break even.
AZ: Probably break even, could lose one.
MN: probably break even, outside change of losing one.
IN: 2 at risk, but I haven't heard any new polling - probably lose no more than one.
KY: could lose one.
VT: pick up one or status quo.

[MNJohnnie]

EVERY election where the major Junk polling outfits have it tied or close the Republicans have done much much better then any of the Talking Head Junk Media types have predicted. Garbage in/Garbage out polling produces garbage analysis. Switching to polling anyone over 18 who answer the phone at a ratio of 27%R/38%D/35% I is utterly absurd polling methodology. It not only over samples Democrats it samples the 50-55% of the population that will not vote on election day.

So WHEN someone finally does a 40-40-20 poll of LIKELY voters and can show all this love for the Democrats I will take them seriously. Bob Novak is making the same mistake the political types do EVERY election year. They listen to the DNC Political spin monsters like Carvell, Begela et al and take their noise seriously

People rarely change their political party id. The Junk Media works these massive swings in the poll data by playing with the sample in order to generate the "horse race" mentality that sells newspapers and drives TV show ratings. Based on the 2004 election they should be sampling 51%R/49%D but of course they will not do that because that would NOT generate the drama queen headlines they need to hype their product. The simply fact is "Journalism" is now days simply another form of marketing a product. A different kind of advertising. It has little to nothing to do with "News" or "Fact"

[Republican Red]

Sorry, but I don't believe it. If there is an anti-incumbency mood in the country as the media keeps telling us, why are not Democrat incumbents affected?

Also, most polls show both sides are dissatisfied with Congress. The latest Pew Poll showed something like 24% approval rate. However, when asked if the person planned on voting for their own Representatives the answer is always a huge majority yes.

Everyone else's representatives suck, not mine.

[Argus]

The Prince of Darkness has spoken, the case is closed!

[MaestroLC]

He's just regurgitating the elite Drive-By Media line. Not much of a track record these past 20 years.

[SDGOP]

Anyone remember novak's column from a few years ago. Novak is ALWAYS predicting republican doom and gloom:

Does a GOP Implosion Await? (FLASHBACK: August 2004 - Novak Quoted)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1673264/posts

Novak: Why GOP fears 2002 races (FLASHBACK to place near his 2006 piece)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1673258/posts

[shalom aleichem]

That's why Irey must beat Murtha in PA-12 to help stem the tide. Go to: www.irey.com for Diana Irey's website

[colorado tanker]

I would have predicted this a month or two ago, but the polls have been shifting. I wonder when he did his research.

[Tulsa Ramjet]

Rove's trying to decide whether to bring out bin laden this fall, or wait until 2008.

[pissant]

Novak is an idiot. His political instincts are 2nd to everyones.

[HHKrepublican_2]

I'm just waiting for the GOP to actually win seats, it would be classic. just like in 2004 when democrats expected to gain in congress and the seante they got slapped.

[rawhide]

I have a hard time believing what Novak says or writes. He seems to be on the fringe so many times.

[Sooner1938]

It's my firm belief that many, if not most of you, are in deep denial. You're whistling past the graveyard.

A paleoconservative, I was voting the straight Republican ticket before many of you were born but I believe they're gonna get their clocks cleaned come November. And as far as this fiscal conservative is concerned, they'll deserve it.

[Bonaparte]

Back in early 2004, Novak predicted that Bush would receive 99% of the GOP vote. No GOP presidential candidate has ever done that -- and Bush didn't do that in 2004.

I just can't take Novak seriously.

[kittymyrib]

Old Lizard Face and Dick Morris love to hear themselves talk. That Fox should be paying for their blabbering, when they have zero credibility, doesn't say much for the judgement of Roger Ailes.