And its Registered voters not Likely so add another 3 points to the GOP totals. Add that to Dick Morris predictions of GOP disaster and Nov is looking good.
I thing the governor's race here in RAT central is very close as well. Six months ago that was not the case.
Jason and you have it right. The fact that on average, Dem's have an IQ of 10 points less than Pubbies translates to a lower turnout for them. "Likely voters" ALWAYS shows a higher result for Republicans than "registered voters."