Hey, thanks! I'd be happy to add you to my 'informal' election ping list, if you'd like.
I basically agree with Torie. In 2004 a Howard Dean style third-rate Democrat took 41.1% despite getting outspent 6 to 1. Lampson is a former congressman running as a centrist who can spend at least $3 million for the seat. The write-in procedures are quite cumbersome and the macro-political backdrop is negative for the GOP. There is also a movement by some Republicans to support the Libertarian nominee. In short, I think these are very tall odds for Sekula-Gibbs.
I'd love to be added to your ping list. And yes, I pretty much agree with that assessment. This put a Gibbs victory within the realm of possibility, but Lampson still has a not insignificant advantage.