What about this? Bad guys (i.e Iran by way of Syria) try to take the Golan Heights this weekend. If they succeed, all of Israel is in range for whatever they have planned on Tuesday.
Assuming Israel is the only target. I agree that it's a major one, but our presence in Iraq is far more troublesome for the mullahs. Any moves against Israel would also include moves against our folks in Iraq.
We should also not forget Ahneedajihad's pal, Kim Jong Il. It's a pretty good bet that he'd think seriously about acting up once he sees our attention turned to Iran.
In fact, it wouldn't surprise me at all to learn that they've worked out a plan to act in concert.