I think Israels move into lebanon was calculated by Iran to probe Israeli defenses. Syria is removing landmines on the border and Iran is getting ready to run military and missile exercises.
Lebanese troops are moving into Southern Lebanon per the ceasefire and France already chickened out. That move alone telegrahed what is going to happen.
My opinion? Syria is going to make a play for the Golan Heights with Iranian missile and lebanese military support with Iran providing reinforcements from Syria and Lebanon. Probably coordinated with a West Bank militant uprising.
Iran and Syria are preparing the battlefield and reinforcement routes with their attacks on the Kurdish strongholds in northern Iraq. I wouldn't be suprised if this is also coordinated with a shiite uprising in southern Iraq.
Theoreticlly, this could be a major Cluster F for the US both diplomatically and militarily.
I think the foiled bombings in the UK were to be the start of this. Deadly diversion.
Gotta disagree again. There's no way Iran would have scripted something like that. They're reported to be furious at Hezbollah for pissing away the missiles and infrastructure that Iran has been helping them to assemble for at least a decade.
Yes. That's what I have been thinking. And worrying about another thing too. There used to be an islamic Bosnian on FR who posted that the islamofascists loved the tet offensive.
Diversions. They like lots of movement and activity all at once when it comes to attacks.
Tet Offensive. We'll beat them back everywhere, but just the fact that they tried will be enough for the NYT to say we're losing. Wouldn't be surprised if some of the rats know about this as well. Could be some kind of play here stateside, if they're trying a GF1 sort of gambit.