I am aware of the strength of the Mexican peso and the
Bolsa as well, so there is reason to remain optimistic.
But there are some very strong factors tending to disorder as well. The state of Oaxaca has become "ungovernable" for all intents and purposes, following the dissolution of order that began with a teacher's strike in May and their ensuing insistence that the blatantly corrupt PRI Governor of the state step down. Chiapas has continued to exhibit instances of violent reprisal against some of the truly landless rural poor and it's only in slightly better shape than Oaxaca. And then there are the petroleum and electricity workers unions who fear the reforms Calderon and PAN intend to bring to modernize those industries and end their "job factory" relevance to the Mexican economy. If you put all of those together and couple it with the fact that Lopez Obrador's PRD has control over the Federal District Government in Mexico City,
whose Governor today warned of conflict with the federal government over the exercise of police power in Mexico City, you will see that there are good reasons to fear what AMLO may do.
But make no mistake about it, I hope you're right.