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Senate Heading Toward 50-50 Split (Update on tight races)
Human Events ^ | 8/15/06 | Amanda B. Carpenter

Posted on 08/15/2006 5:32:52 AM PDT by teddyballgame

An analysis of the most recent polls in Senate races nationwide indicates that if the election were held today, the Senate would return to a 50-50 split.

The polls, of course, may not be accurate, and some of them are more than a month old. But they are a rough indicator that the country is headed toward an extremely close election in November, in which Republicans may be fortunate to hold onto the Senate by the slightest of margins.

The GOP currently enjoys a 55-to-45 majority in the Senate, with Sen. James Jeffords (Vt.), the former Republican who became an Independent in 2001 caucusing with 44 Senate Democrats. The most recent polls indicate that Democrats are leading in races against five endangered Republican incumbents: Jim Talent (R.-Mo.), Conrad Burns (R.-Mont.), Mike DeWine (R.-Ohio), Rick Santorum (R.-Pa.) and Lincoln Chafee (R.-RI). By contrast, no Republican Senate candidate is leading in any race for a seat currently held by a Democrat.

(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; election2006; electioncongress; electionussenate; midterms
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1 posted on 08/15/2006 5:32:53 AM PDT by teddyballgame
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To: teddyballgame

Wonder which heap they put Lieberman in?


2 posted on 08/15/2006 5:34:31 AM PDT by IamConservative (Humility is not thinking less of oneself; humility is thinking about oneself less.)
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To: teddyballgame

And when it fails to come about, Karl Rove will be blamed for fixing the elections.


3 posted on 08/15/2006 5:34:47 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: Raycpa
"And when it fails to come about, Karl Rove will be blamed for fixing the elections."

Don't forget Diebold, and Halliburton too. :)
4 posted on 08/15/2006 5:37:14 AM PDT by Jameison
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To: teddyballgame

I think Talent and DeWine are safe. Burns I'm less sure. Santorum is in trouble, and Chaffee deserves what he gets.


5 posted on 08/15/2006 5:37:25 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: teddyballgame

Attn: DU Lurkers!

Don't forget! Ride your bike to the polling place on Election Wednesday! It's healthy, shows eco-consciousness, and sends the Right Wingers a strong message about who you are!


6 posted on 08/15/2006 5:37:36 AM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (WARNING: Alcohol may cause you to think you are whispering when you are definitely not.)
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To: teddyballgame

None of the Dimwit challengers are currently polling at over 50 percent. It doesn't seem likely that the Dims will run the table when all is said and done. Here in PA Santorum's support is growing while Caset is beginning to lose some of his luster.


7 posted on 08/15/2006 5:38:50 AM PDT by massadvj
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To: teddyballgame

Nobody polled me.


8 posted on 08/15/2006 5:41:31 AM PDT by 84rules ( Ooh-Rah! Semper Fi!)
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To: 84rules

I thgink people underestimate the power of the incumbant. I think DeWine and Santorum will win.


9 posted on 08/15/2006 5:42:30 AM PDT by teddyballgame (red man in a blue state)
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To: 84rules

"Nobody polled me..."


I'd make sure to keep your pants up and count your blessings... : )


10 posted on 08/15/2006 5:43:59 AM PDT by Hand em their arse
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To: Dog Gone

I do think that Steele will win in Maryland.


11 posted on 08/15/2006 5:45:38 AM PDT by sportutegrl (A person is a person, no matter how small. (Dr. Seuss))
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To: Dog Gone

I think Talent will pull out his race. Also, I think Keen has a shot in NJ. Burns has narrowed the gap, but he may be done. I think the GOP will hold the Senate, but I am more worried about the House.


12 posted on 08/15/2006 5:45:53 AM PDT by GeorgefromGeorgia
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To: teddyballgame

I think we should stop stalling and predict what the MSM is dying to, the GOP will lose every seat they are contending for, Bush will be impeached, and Pelosi made President.


13 posted on 08/15/2006 5:46:58 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Am I therefore become your enemy because I tell you the truth? (Gal.4:16))
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To: teddyballgame

this is utter nonsense. they are not using reliable polling data to make these conclusions.


14 posted on 08/15/2006 5:47:59 AM PDT by PDR
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To: teddyballgame
The polls, of course, may not be accurate, and some of them are more than a month old.

In other words they are meaningless, but Amanda Carpenter had a deadline so she wrote this tripe anyway.

(I changed my mind. When I grow up I want to be a 'journalist' instead of a TV Weatherman) /s

15 posted on 08/15/2006 5:48:07 AM PDT by Condor51 (Better to fight for something than live for nothing - Gen. George S. Patton)
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To: teddyballgame

Dewine is way ahead in fundraising. Hopefully that will help. Talent also has a lot more $$ on hand than his opponent. Still I would like to know, what is wrong with Missouri??

Repubs are just doing badly in general in Ohio. Dewine is a moderate conservative, but he is in for a very tough race. Makes me wonder about all the claims that Republicans "must move to the center" to win. Doesn't always work I guess.


16 posted on 08/15/2006 5:48:52 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: PDR

Agreed. I've seen polls showing Kean pulling ahead in NJ and Santorum closing the gap to single digits in PA.


17 posted on 08/15/2006 5:50:40 AM PDT by ScottfromNJ
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To: TNCMAXQ

What is going to be sweet is when the Rats and their allies in the MSM are proven wrong again.

The wrist-slitting could be messy, though, so wear galoshes November 7.


18 posted on 08/15/2006 5:53:21 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: TNCMAXQ
" Makes me wonder about all the claims that Republicans "must move to the center" to win. Doesn't always work I guess."

Ask Joe Schwartz how well that works.
19 posted on 08/15/2006 5:54:13 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Buh Bye Joey Schwartz, the 7th district doesn't vote for liberal pukes)
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To: GeorgefromGeorgia
Talent, DeWine and Santorum will pull it out, but it will be close, particularly for Rick. Conrad Burns is turning a corner and will win his race. We may pick up a Dem seat or two. In the end, the Reps keep their majority.

In recent years, the Senate has been more volatile than the House. After last week, I think we will hold the majority their also.

Anecdotally, I spent a bit of time at the Republican party booth at the Iowa State Fair. The Dem booth was across the aisle from ours. The GOP booth was consistently attracting folks signing up to vote and volunteer. The Dems were unable to draw a crowd. Generally, atttraction to one of the party's booths is a barometer of electoral success in the fall election.

20 posted on 08/15/2006 5:56:07 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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