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To: Torie
His column from the week before was called "murky horizons" and in it he argues that House control is a very close call. But if this is his newly developed view, he might want to update some of his House rankings and Senate rankings also for heavan's sake.

I don't understand his take on the Senate. That is not close to 50 to 50. Maybe 25 percent, 30 percent chance tops. The way I see it there are 15 races that are not completely over. The Dems need to win 13 of them. They have a huge to pretty clear edge in 9 of them, granted. They have some slight edge in 2 of them and one is truly 50/50 (MO). But all the other 3 have a fairly decent GOP lean to them. I think 11 out of 15 would be closer to an average result from that hand, fully considering how bad the current environment is for the GOP.

46 posted on 08/05/2006 7:10:06 PM PDT by crasher
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To: crasher

The right hand does not know what the left is doing. The Dems will have to get really lucky to win 6 Senate seats, and assuming they hold all their own, they need to get PA, RI, Montana, Ohio, Missouri, and then bag Tenn or Virginia. That scenario is a royal flush.


47 posted on 08/05/2006 7:15:58 PM PDT by Torie
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