Mexico's Electoral Tribunal Will Decide Tomorrow Whether to Recount Votes (Translation)

La Crónica de Hoy ^ | August 4, 2006 | Notimex ( translated by self )

[StJacques]

The TEPJF Decides Tomorrow if There Will Be a Recount of Votes

The Superior Court of the Electoral Tribunal of the Judicial Power of the Federation (TEPJF) will convene¹ a public session at 10:00 a.m. this Saturday, to resolve 175 received incident reports and will make a special pronouncement with reference to the challenges to the presidential election.

The seven magistrates who make up the Superior Court should pronounce their decision with respect to the electoral packets² to determine whether or not it will carry out a recount of votes of the presidential election of July 2.

At 10:15 a.m. this Friday the announcement was put up on the dockets of the TEPJF relative to the public session which has the object of resolving the 175 incidents with respect to an equal number of suits of [electoral] inconformity filed by the For the Good of All coalition.³

The list of proceedings includes JIN212, known as the "Mother of All Appeals" or the "Leading Appeal," filed by the For the Good of All coalition to challenge the validity of the presidential election and demanding a vote by vote recount in the 300 electoral districts of the country.

With reference to the aforementioned it is anticipated that Saturday morning the Superior Court will definitively pronounce itself with respect to the recount.

Among the [possible] scenarios are that the magistrates may incline themselves not to open any electoral packets; that they pronounce the opening of a specific number in 173 electoral districts, or they also could decide to proceed to the opening of all the electoral packets in the 300 electoral districts of the country.

The notice of the public session in the dockets is shaped by a total of 14 sheets of paper in which it makes clear the identifying number of each one of the proceedings that will be the object of analysis and legal opinion with relation to the incident report and the special Saturday pronouncement.

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Translator's Notes:

¹Sic, a grammatical error in original article, which uses the Preterite (past) Tense referring to a meeting that will take place tomorrow.

²The "electoral packets" are the crated and sealed paper ballots, which are also referred to as the casillas, a name that can alternatively be used to describe the precincts in which votes were cast.

³The "For the Good of All coalition" (La Coalición Por el Bien de Todos) represents an alliance of Lopez Obrador's PRD (Party of the Democratic Revolution), the PT (Labor Party), and Convergencia (Convergence for Democracy) in support of Lopez Obrador's presidential candidacy.

[Welike ike]

SAJ, one minute you seem levelheaded and intelligent explaining the Bogus Exit polls at Tradepsorts, the next you ripping me about Obrador. What Gives?

[Welike ike]

SAJ, let us visit this Obrador market at Intrade once more. the fact is Obrador was a heavy Favorite on July 1rst, and then Calderon wins. Does it matter if it was 70 or 60%, the fact is Tradesports is a hack site.

[Shuttle Shucker]

Here's at least SOME progress:

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/front/4096591.html

[SAJ]

The chart comes right off the site, straight cut and paste. Oh, and I also called ts this a.m. Right as rain according to them. You have two choices: accept the data presented or supply (presumably) authoritative contrary data. Dismissing data out of hand w/o any differing data in hand is how the lefties argue.

You'll note I said 'former' bookmaker. That's how I put myself through college many years ago. Nor did I ever use the term 'expert', merely 'professional' -- as in how one makes ones living. Do try to read what has actually been written, rather that what you might prefer to have been written.

As to being 'distinguished', at least bookmakers are honest about what they do (and, btw, it's only in America that 'bookmaker' is a perjorative, not elsewhere); insurance companies, those oh-so-distinguished institutions, are and always have been bookmakers by precise definition.

As to tradesports, I've dealt with them for years with never the tiniest hint of a problem.

Ta-ta.

[Shuttle Shucker]

Sigh...there will be a recount of half of the electoral districts: http://www.el-universal.com.mx/notas/366845.html

[Shuttle Shucker]

Hmmmm.... I just spoke with an attorney friend in Mexico City, and the info I reported to her, combined with her analysis, suggests that maybe this won't be a vote-by-vote recount even in contested districts. After all, judges and magistrates will be doing the counting. Maybe they'll be recounting the mere vote TALLIES? We'll see clarifications in the news soon enough. That attorney is pretty sure AMLO will lose this either way though.

[Shuttle Shucker]

A "scrutiny" will take place with results from 9% of the voting centers, with the official results announced on Monday, August 14th. Apparently the results from the others will be left standing as is, despite the PRD's pleas:

http://www.el-universal.com.mx/notas/366854.html

What's still not too clear to me is whether this scrutiny entails a vote-by-vote recount or just a..."scrutiny". I imagine it's the former, BUT reportedly only judges and magistrates can do it. Presumably they can use staff though. I mean how can they manually recount all those votes (maybe 9% of the millions and millions cast). The articles aren't honing in on this fine point yet, but admittedly the news is only minutes old.

ObraGore's antics are getting old too.

[rhinohunter]

Thanks for your input... Hopefully many happy trading days remain for us =)

[Shuttle Shucker]

SAJ:
I'd be interested to see how the bets on that Irish wagering site are regarding ObraGore's prospects now. Hopefully they haven't improved? I looked at the link from your interesting chart and there doesn't APPEAR to be much change except a slight boost for the already favored Calderon.

Interestingly enough, this Houston Chronicle article says that around 4 million votes are subject to the recount and that they're basically in PAN strongholds:

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/front/4097247.html

The article also says the PRD's ObraGore's prospects are considered bleak.

It's disconcerting to see the PRD official saying that their "peaceful" civil resistance will involve their making others spill their blood, the blood of the oppressed, Gandhi-style. Some lunkheads down there have nothing better to do than to jump to their death in front of metro trains and let the PRD claim it was in protest.

[SAJ]

As of a few minutes ago, tradesports was quoting ObraGore 3.5 bid @ 6.0, 2 by 10 (translates to: ya-a-aw-w-wn). Going nowhere fast.

The MexElex page on tradesports is right here, no signup, no costs, check it out whenever you like.

Thanks for the commentary!