[AuH2ORepublican]

"I'd say there is no doubt whatsoever that the Dems will claim DeLay is ineligible if he does not switch his residency back to Texas before Election Day. And, in that case, they would be correct, so if he's gonna stay on the ballot and run then he'd better switch back pronto."

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If DeLay runs, it will be with a promise to resign if elected, thereby setting up a special election to replace him. I can think of no better way for DeLay to "guarantee" to voters that he will not serve if elected than keeping his residence in Virginia and actually voting in Virginia on Election Day (if they have early voting, it would be even better, since he would not waste campaigning time flying to VA).

[AntiGuv]

I'm not too confident about what strategy they'll pursue, but I also lean toward the scenario you outline.